Your Weekly Stock Markets Rundown: Markets Eye Positive Week Amid Weakening Oil and Dollar

• Indian benchmark indices are poised for a positive week with rangebound trading, supported by falling oil prices and a weakening US dollar index.

• Last week, the Sensex gained 1.99% to 74,332.58, and the Nifty rose 1.95% to 22,552.50, snapping a 3-week losing streak—the biggest weekly gain of 2025.

• Domestic markets recovered from oversold levels, though premium valuations in broader indices may cap a broad rally; large caps remain attractive.

• Focus this week will be on US and India inflation data, institutional trends (FII/DII), and cues on US interest rates amid tariff uncertainties.

📅 Weekly Events Calendar

💡 DO YOU KNOW?

The Nifty’s 1.95% gain last week (March 3-7) marked its strongest weekly performance of 2025, driven by a relief rally after a 10-session losing streak ended on March 5.

Important Observations and Market Sentiments: Editor Special

• Weakening oil prices and a softer US dollar bolstered sentiment last week, with gains likely to persist if US inflation eases further—watch Monday’s data.

• India’s retail inflation dropping to 4.31% in January strengthens the case for RBI rate cuts; February’s print on Wednesday could solidify this outlook.

• Corporate earnings recovery and easing tariff tensions are critical for sustained upside; until then, large caps may outperform mid and smallcaps.

• FII selling moderated last week (-₹13,501.28 crore) against DII buying (+₹20,951.89 crore), but institutional flows will remain a key driver this week.

👀Stocks to Focus:

• Auto Stocks (Maruti Suzuki, Tata Motors): February passenger vehicle sales data on Wednesday could sway momentum.

• Banking Stocks (SBI, HDFC Bank): Potential RBI rate cut signals from inflation data may lift sentiment.

• Metal Stocks (Tata Steel, Hindalco): Falling oil prices and dollar weakness could sustain gains.

📜 Summary:

The week ahead promises a positive yet rangebound market, buoyed by favorable oil and dollar trends. Key data releases—US inflation, India’s CPI and IIP, and auto sales—will shape momentum, with large caps in focus amid valuation comfort. Markets close Friday for Holi, so expect condensed action. Stay alerted for institutional cues and tariff updates.

🚀 Stay cautious, watch key events, and trade wisely!

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